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Thursday · July 30 ✦

RED SOX @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

RED SOX 5
Athletics 4

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Athletics · Actual: 5–4 Red Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Athletics 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Athletics 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 39% 61% — ✗
Consensus Athletics 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games