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Tuesday · July 28 ✦

RED SOX @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

Red Sox 3
ATHLETICS 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 3–4 Athletics

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 62% 38% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 73% 27% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Athletics 41% 59%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 56% 44%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 57% 43% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games

Athletics this season

73–51

59% across 124 games