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Sunday · July 19 ✦

NATIONALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

NATIONALS 5
Athletics 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 5–2 Nationals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 31% 69% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Athletics 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Athletics 42% 58%
Random Forest Athletics 30% 70%
Consensus Athletics 41% 59% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Athletics this season

73–52

58% across 125 games