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Friday · July 17 ✦

NATIONALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

NATIONALS 23
Athletics 4

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 23–4 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 42% 58% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Athletics 48% 52%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 57% 43%
Consensus Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

69–56

55% across 125 games

Athletics this season

73–52

58% across 125 games