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Friday · July 3 ✦

MARLINS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

MARLINS 12
Athletics 5

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 12–5 Marlins

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Athletics 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Athletics 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 28% 72% — ✗
Consensus Athletics 42% 58% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games