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Saturday · July 4 ✦

MARLINS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

MARLINS 7
Athletics 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 7–2 Marlins

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 40% 60% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Athletics 40% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Athletics 43% 57%
Random Forest Athletics 39% 61%
Consensus Athletics 40% 60% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

45–40

53% across 85 games

Athletics this season

50–35

59% across 85 games