Tuesday · June 16 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ ATHLETICS
Sutter Health Park. · 91 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph out to lf
Final
PIRATES
6
Athletics
5
Our Pick
ATHLETICS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 6–5 Pirates
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Athletics | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Athletics | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Athletics | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Athletics | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Athletics | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Athletics | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Athletics | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
45–41
52% across 86 games
Athletics this season
50–36
58% across 86 games