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Wednesday · June 17 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to cf

Final

PIRATES 12
Athletics 4

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 12–4 Pirates

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 29% 71% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Athletics 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Athletics 48% 52%
Random Forest Athletics 29% 71%
Consensus Athletics 40% 60% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

45–41

52% across 86 games

Athletics this season

50–36

58% across 86 games