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Thursday · May 14 · 12:05 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

CARDINALS 5
Athletics 4

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 5–4 Cardinals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 33% 67% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Athletics 47% 53%
Random Forest Athletics 46% 54%
Consensus Athletics 44% 56% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games