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Thursday · April 30 · 12:05 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 74 degrees, sunny, wind 2 mph out to rf

Final

Royals 3
ATHLETICS 6

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Athletics · Actual: 3–6 Athletics

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Athletics 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Athletics 50% 50% 4–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games