Back to the recap

Tuesday · April 28 · 6:41 PM ✦

ROYALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 74 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

ROYALS 4
Athletics 1

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 4–1 Royals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 38% 62% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 33% 67% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48%
Random Forest Athletics 45% 55%
Consensus Athletics 42% 58% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Athletics this season

30–17

64% across 47 games