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Tuesday · April 28 · 6:41 PM ✦

ROYALS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 74 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

ROYALS 4
Athletics 1

Our Pick

ATHLETICS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 4–1 Royals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 38% 62% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 33% 67% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Athletics 35% 65% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Athletics 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games