Tuesday · September 15 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
MARLINS
4
D-backs
2
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–2 Marlins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22% | 78% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games