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Wednesday · September 16 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

MARLINS 4
D-backs 3

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–3 Marlins

65%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% 2–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 29% 71% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 27% 73% 2–5 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games