← Back to the recap

Sunday · September 13 · 1:10 PM ✦

RANGERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 77 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RANGERS 7
D-backs 6

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 7–6 Rangers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 56% 44% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 32% 68% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 48% 52% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games