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Monday · September 14 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Marlins 7
D-BACKS 8

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–8 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Miami Marlins 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games