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Friday · September 11 · 6:40 pm ✦

RANGERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rangers 1
D-BACKS 9

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–9 D-backs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 65% 35% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Texas Rangers 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games