Wednesday · September 2 · 12:41 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 76 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Phillies
0
D-BACKS
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–1 D-backs
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 57% | 43% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games