Monday · August 31 · 6:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PHILLIES
2
D-backs
1
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 2–1 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40% | 60% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games