Tuesday · August 25 ✦
CUBS @ D-BACKS
Chase Field.
Final
Cubs
4
D-BACKS
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–5 D-backs
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 57% | 43% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games