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Saturday · August 22 · 5:10 pm ✦

REDS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

REDS 11
D-backs 5

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 11–5 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 53% 45% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 47% 52% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games