Friday · August 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Reds
0
D-BACKS
9
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–9 D-backs
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 73% | 27% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 64% | 36% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
64–58
52% across 122 games
D-backs this season
69–53
57% across 122 games