← Back to the recap

Sunday · August 9 · 1:11 PM ✦

DODGERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 77 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Dodgers 2
D-BACKS 4

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–4 D-backs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 71% 29% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% — ✓
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games