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Sunday · August 9 · 1:11 PM ✦

DODGERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 77 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Dodgers 2
D-BACKS 4

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–4 D-backs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 71% 29% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 38% 62%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games