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Friday · August 7 ✦

DODGERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

Dodgers 3
D-BACKS 4

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 3–4 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 5–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 43% 57%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games