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Thursday · August 6 ✦

PADRES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

PADRES 5
D-backs 1

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–1 Padres

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres D-backs Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 60% 40% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 37% 63% — ✗
Random Forest San Diego Padres 66% 34% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games