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Thursday · August 6 ✦

PADRES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

PADRES 5
D-backs 1

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–1 Padres

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres D-backs Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 60% 40% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 37% 63%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 66% 34%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games