Back to the recap

Tuesday · August 4 ✦

PADRES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

PADRES 9
D-backs 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 9–4 Padres

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres D-backs Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64%
Consensus San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games