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Tuesday · July 21 ✦

ATHLETICS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

Athletics 5
D-BACKS 6

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 5–6 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 67% 33% 4–2 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 62% 38% 4–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 31% 69% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 52% 48% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games