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Monday · July 20 ✦

ATHLETICS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

ATHLETICS 5
D-backs 2

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 5–2 Athletics

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Athletics 64% 36% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 31% 69%
Random Forest Athletics 57% 43%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

73–52

58% across 125 games

D-backs this season

70–54

56% across 124 games