Saturday · July 18 · 1:10 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 76 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Cardinals
3
D-BACKS
5
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 3–5 D-backs
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games