Back to the recap

Friday · July 3 ✦

BREWERS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

BREWERS 7
D-backs 4

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 7–4 Brewers

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 39% 61%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

49–35

58% across 84 games

D-backs this season

46–39

54% across 85 games