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Saturday · June 20 · 7:10 pm ✦

TWINS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

TWINS 16
D-backs 8

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 16–8 Twins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 50% 50%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

D-backs this season

46–40

53% across 86 games