Back to the recap

Friday · June 5 ✦

NATIONALS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

NATIONALS 14
D-backs 1

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 14–1 Nationals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 38% 62%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 32% 68%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

D-backs this season

46–40

53% across 86 games