← Back to the recap

Saturday · June 6 · 1:10 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 75 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

NATIONALS 6
D-backs 1

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 6–1 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 56% 44% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 58% 42% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 66% 34% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 52% 48% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games