Thursday · May 7 · 12:41 PM ✦
PIRATES @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 78 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
4
D-backs
2
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–7 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–2 Pirates
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 29% | 71% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22% | 78% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 36% | 64% | 5–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 18% | 82% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 37% | 63% | 4–7 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games