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Wednesday · May 6 ✦

PIRATES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

PIRATES 1
D-backs 0

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 1–0 Pirates

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 38% 62% — ✗
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 24% 76% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games