Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
0
D-BACKS
9
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 0–9 D-backs
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 45% | 55% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 25% | 75% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games