Back to the recap

Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Pirates 0
D-BACKS 9

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 0–9 D-backs

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 45% 55% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 49% 51% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 48% 52%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 25% 75%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 41% 59% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games

D-backs this season

26–18

59% across 44 games