Saturday · April 25 · 4:08 PM ✦
PADRES @ D-BACKS
Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph l to r
Final
PADRES
6
D-backs
4
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–7 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 6–4 Padres
64%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22% | 78% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22% | 78% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 24% | 76% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 24% | 76% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 70% | 30% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 36% | 64% | 4–7 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
32–12
73% across 44 games
D-backs this season
27–18
60% across 45 games