Back to the recap

Thursday · April 2 ✦

BRAVES @ D-BACKS

Chase Field.

Final

BRAVES 17
D-backs 2

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–7 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 17–2 Braves

65%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves D-backs Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 40% 60% 5–6
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 20% 80% 4–7
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 31% 69% 4–6
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 20% 80% 4–8
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 36% 64%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 56% 44%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 35% 65% 4–7
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games

D-backs this season

28–18

61% across 46 games