Monday · March 30 · 7:10 pm ✦
TIGERS @ D-BACKS
Chase Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Tigers
6
D-BACKS
9
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 6–9 D-backs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | D-backs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
D-backs this season
28–18
61% across 46 games