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Sunday · October 4 · 5:00 pm ✦

BRAVES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph varies

Final

BRAVES 3
Dodgers 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 3–2 Braves

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 62% 38% 6–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 3–5 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 4–5 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games