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Wednesday · October 7 ✦

BREWERS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

BREWERS 3
Padres 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 3–1 Brewers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Padres Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 38% 62% 4–4 ✗
Logistic San Diego Padres 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest San Diego Padres 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games