← Back to the recap

Thursday · October 8 ✦

GUARDIANS @ WHITE SOX

Rate Field.

Final

GUARDIANS 9
White Sox 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 9–5 Guardians

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians White Sox Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Chicago White Sox 33% 67% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Chicago White Sox 46% 54% 3–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games