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Saturday · October 3 · 6:38 PM ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 0
RAYS 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 0–1 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 54% 46% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games