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Wednesday · October 7 ✦

RAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium.

Final

RAYS 4
Yankees 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–3 Rays

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 31% 69% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 39% 61% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 41% 59% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games