Monday · October 5 ✦
YANKEES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field.
Final
Yankees
2
RAYS
5
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 2–5 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Yankees | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 67% | 33% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games