Wednesday · September 30 · 2:16 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r
Final
PHILLIES
4
Braves
3
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–3 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games