Wednesday · September 30 · 7:00 pm ✦
CUBS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf
Final
Cubs
1
PADRES
4
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–4 Padres
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games