Thursday · October 1 · 8:00 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
Phillies
2
BRAVES
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–6 Braves
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | 4–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games