Tuesday · September 29 · 2:16 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 80 degrees, sunny, wind 3 mph calm
Final
Phillies
3
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–5 Braves
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games