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Tuesday · September 29 · 4:10 PM ✦

WHITE SOX @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

WHITE SOX 6
Astros 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 6–3 White Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Astros Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 56% 44% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Houston Astros 43% 57% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Houston Astros 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games