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Tuesday · September 29 · 8:00 pm ✦

RED SOX @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 69 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

Red Sox 0
YANKEES 9

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 0–9 Yankees

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Boston Red Sox 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 39% 61% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 50% 50% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games